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  • Writer's pictureMike Paterson

Move over BOE it's time for NFPs

Friday 7 August 2020

A little bit of USD demand/risk-off sentiment this morning as markets wait on the latest US jobs report at 12.30 GMT. All data is relative atm but that won't stop the algos having some fun if the relesse is wide of expectations which is reasonably likely given all the unknowns out there.

GBPUSD failed a few times at the decent 1.3180-85 sell interest as per my tweets and now falling through 1.3100 again as I type with help from the general USD supply, steady EURGBP and GBPJPY selling.EURGBP broke down through the support at 0.9000 amid the general GBP demand post-MPC but once again ran into that good demand at 0.8980-85 but failing into 0.9050 since. GBPJPY rallied through 139.00 on that GBP demnd/better risk combo to test 139.20 but since retreated to test bids at 138.25-30.

I stay poised to sell GBP rallies overall as my preferred side and buy back in the dips as ever.Patience will continue to be a virtue and entry level key as always. I still expect to continue seeing dip demand though amid the generally softer USD tones atm.

USDJPY found support again at 105.30 but equally capped at 105.65-70 as normal services resumes.EURJPY found support this time at 124.65 but capped at 125.50 again and now finding support at 124.80. EURUSD has based around 1.1820 a few times and currenryl testing down there again having failed at 1.1880. USDCHF found support at 0.9080 as EURUSD retreated and with EURCHF still ranging with the SNB seemingly watching, but still lurking and has tested 0.9140 since.

AUDUSD failed into 0.7250 again after a decent rally from that 0.7180 area I higlighted yesterday  with Victoria COVID lockdown still in focus but support into 0.7180 still .USDCAD held 1.3275 and then rallied to test 1.3375 as Trump announced aluminium tariffs and helped further by firmer USD tones. Emerging market currencies have been under pressure all week as a fallout from pressure on the Turkish lira and that's seen a weaker XAR too with USDZAR now finding a base at 17.4000 and GBPZAR at 22.70 but the latter retreating from highs of 23.2560 amid the general GBP selling.

Markets are ever-fickle but good two-way pips to be had so don't forget to contact me if there's areas of trading these markets that you might need some further help with.

Let's continue to be careful out there in all things. Staying safe must be our main priority still. Have a good week-end everyone.

Interbank rates:  08.42 BST

GBPUSD   1.3107

EURUSD   1.1839

EURGBP   0.9033

GBPEUR   1.1069

GBPAUD   1.8152

GBPCAD   1.7483

GBPJPY   138.35

GBPZAR   23.0794

GBPHKD   10.1603

USDJPY   105.60

USDZAR   17.6301

EURJPY   124.98

EURCHF   1.0799

EURHKD   9.1790

AUDUSD   0.7217

USDCAD   1.3344

USDCHF   0.9125

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