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  • Writer's pictureMike Paterson

Risk sentiment sours again

Monday 27 January 2020

Concerns continue to grow over the increasing numbers/spread of Coronavirus cases and along with further rocket attacks on the Green Zone in Baghdad, including a hit on the US Embassy we've seen JPY and CHF demand again with softer oil and equities and gold finally surging higher.

Markets have steadied a little since the initial Asian opening moves but traders rightly remain cautious. Softer German January IFO data also just out.

GBPUSD has been down to test 1.3050 bids/support again as risk sentiment soured, shrugging off Friday's better UK PMI data but we've seen a bounce back to 1.3095 as GBPJPY finds some dip demand again with USDJPY holding 108.70.

EURGBP is holding 0.8400 still, no doubt helped by the anticipation of the usual month-end Bundesbank EUR demand but sellers remain poised.GBPJPY found a base around 142.00 and has now rallied to test resistance at 142.80.

I stay poised to sell GBP rallies overall and buy back in the dips as ever but continue to see some good two-way business as we continue in these tight ranges and the BOE rate-cut conjecture continues. The UK may be leaving the EU on Friday but that's only the start of the next chapter in this on-going saga.

EURUSD has remained on the back foot around 1.1020-50 but still tightly bound as cross-play interest provides both sellers and buyers still. USDJPY fell through the 109.30 bids/support on Friday and that signalled further falls which, helped by the weekend risk off sentiment saw a drop to 108.72 before dip buyers returned. EURJPY has also broken down through 120.00 but similarly dip buyers poised on core pairs but rally sellers ready too amid the softer risk plays. USDCHF has held 0.9680 again as EURUSD falls but rallies tempered with EURCHF on the backfoot still and testing 1.0700.

AUDUSD has fallen further helped by AUDJPY supply amid the Chinese/regional coronavirus concerns and now with 5 cases reported in Australia.Some support from rising gold price but sellers still in control. USDCAD has rallied further on some general USD demand and softer oil prices to weaken the C$ and now we've seen 1.3180 give way but sellers will remain poised.

Fickle Forex markets ever prevailing so be ready with your entry/exit levels and orders as always.

Don't forget that I offer 1-2-1 mentoring if there's areas of trading these tight ranges, or how to make best use of the order boards and expiries, that you might need some further help with.

Sad/tragic news re Kobe Bryant and his daughter plus the 7 others on board who also perished. He was a big believer in making the most of each day, as indeed we all must.

Have a good week out there one and all.

Interbank rates: 08.25 GMT

GBPUSD   1.3073

EURUSD   1.1029

EURGBP   0.8436

GBPEUR   1.1853

GBPAUD   1.9251

GBPCAD   1.7217

GBPJPY   142.60

GBPZAR   19.0500

GBPHKD   10.1363

USDJPY   109.08

USDZAR   14.5528

EURJPY   120.32

EURCHF   1.0715

EURHKD   8.5517

AUDUSD   0.6790

USDCAD   1.3173

USDCHF   0.9715

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