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  • Writer's pictureMike Paterson

Softer but still variable risk sentiment as another week begins

Monday 15 June 2020

We started to see some risk-off sentiment return last week and now renewed fears of a second wave of COVID-19 and the generally fragile global state has given this week a risk-off start with equities and commodities further in retreat and which has also brought some USD demand.Some risk appetite developing as I type though.

Brexit in the mix too as Johnson has a call today with Von der Leyen scheduled for 12.30 GMT and the Pound has lost further ground in the wake of BOE Governor Bailey saying on Friday that they are prepared to throw more easing into the monetary system to help bolster the economy.

GBPUSD has been down to test 1.2450 in Asia but bounced back to 1.2550 again this morning. EURGBP has failed above 0.9020 this morning as GBPUSD finds a bid and now testing support at 0.8975-80 (GBPEUR sellers 1.1150).

GBPJPY has found support at 133.60 with core pairs both finding dip demand this morning and we're testing 134.80 as I type in the latest bounce.

I stay poised to sell GBP rallies overall as ever but patience continues to be a virtue and entry level key as always. I still expect to see some more dip demand though given the recent rallies.

USDJPY failed above 107.50 on its latest rallies and demand/support building at 107.00 so that's our new range in essence.EURJPY tested 120.30 again on the risk-off plays but back up to 120.81 as I type on some better risk developing.EURUSD has been down to look at 1.1220 on the softer risk but also finding a little demand as I type. USDCHF held 0.9440 on Friday and now back up testing 0.99550 as EURCHF also finds support and EURUSD findinf buyers too on some better risk. SNB no doubt still in the frame.

AUDUSD has fallen to look at 0.6775 amid the softer risk and gloomy Chinese retaliation shadow still playing out but up to 0.6835 as I type. USDCAD has seen another steady rally on the firmer USD/softer oil combo with CADJPY selling notable amid the softer risk but failing above 1.3680 so far.

Let's continue to be careful out there in all things. Staying safe must be our main priority still.

Interbank rates:  08.45 BST

GBPUSD   1.2498

EURUSD   1.123

EURGBP   0.8987

GBPEUR   1.1126

GBPAUD   1.8404

GBPCAD   1.7112

GBPJPY   134.30

GBPZAR   21.5907

GBPHKD   9.6990

USDJPY   107.34

USDZAR   17.2484

EURJPY   120.67

EURCHF   1.0721

EURHKD   8.7221

AUDUSD   0.6795

USDCAD   1.3675

USDCHF   0.9535

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